I will be in Boston and New York soon, either side of the Hyman Minsky Conference that I’m speaking at at the Levy Institute. I am committed to meetings on Tuesday-Wednesday June 22-23 (and possibly Friday June 25), to the Levy conference June 27-29, and there may be a seminar jointly organised with Eric Janszen [...]
News item on Interest Only Mortgages
Channel 7′s Today Tonight is doing an item on “Interest Only Mortgages”–like the product that ING has recently promoted–and the whole housing bubble issue. They are looking for anyone who has been “burnt” by either an interest-only loan, or a loan that was predicated on the expectation that house prices would always rise–as is ING’s [...]
Excellent presentation on Scribd on Australian housing
This presentation was noted by a blog member today. Take particular note of slides 21-20 which compare the balance sheets of US and UK banks to that of one Australian bank, the Commonwealth. How to Profit From the Coming Aussie Property Crash (and Banking Crisis) Also a quick note that the site’s server crashed this [...]
Stanford and Keen double bill
Jim Stanford, the author of the popular Economics for Everyone (from which the cartoon to the left is taken), and I spoke at a double bill on the global debt crisis for the venerable Sydney institution “Politics in the Pub” last night. We had a full house for an provocative evening on why the Dismal [...]
Revere Award for Economics
This has just been posted on the Real World Economics Review Revere Award for Economics for the 3 economists who warned the world Results For Immediate Release 13 May 2010 Keen, Roubini and Baker win Revere Award for Economics Steve Keen (University of Western Sydney), receiving more than twice as many votes as his nearest [...]
Politics in the Pub (Sydney) tomorrow
“THE BURDEN OF DEBT: HOW SERIOUS & WHO WILL PAY?” Speakers [each giving 20 minute talks on the topic]: Dr Jim Stanford, Canadian Auto Workers Union, author of ‘Economics for Everyone’ and presenter of last year’s Ted Wheelwright lecture at the University of Sydney. Associate Professor Steve Keen, University of Western Sydney, author of DeBunking Economics and [...]
A monkey off my back
The Keen Walk to Kosciuszko was a fabulous experience—as Matt Carroll (one of the organizers) put it, it was “the best holiday ever”. That’s not to minimize the effort involved: covering 235 kilometres on foot in 8 days is no mean feat. But the combination of great company, personal success for all involved in an [...]
Interview on Ten’s The 7pm Project
After Australian house prices rose 20 percent in one year, everyone’s talking a bubble. Channel Ten’s new(ish) avant-garde current affairs program asked for my perspective on the day the RBA yet again increased interest rates. After leading in with the news and a feature on Neil Roberston, the 26-year-old Australian snooker player who won the [...]
Letter to PM on Residential Property Prices and Foreign Investment Laws
The news that the Rudd Government was rolling back its changes to Australia’s foreign investment rules on housing came as we were still on The Walk. Just prior to starting it, I received a note from Dr John Daffy, with the following letter from him to the PM attached. I asked John whether I could [...]
Revere Award Voting
Edward Fullbrook, the editor of the Real World Economics Review that created the Dynamite Prize in Economics and the Revere Award, has just sent out the message reproduced below. Voting for the Revere Award for Economics for the three economists who first and most clearly anticipated and gave public warning of the Global Financial Collapse [...]
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TalkFinance.net
- No Secret to Gold Investing. Just Accumulate.
- Collapse Gives WAY TO A Rally
- 60 Second Market Wrap
- Is Australia Consuming the Economy to Death?
- Misguided Gratitude for Government Stimulus
- Land owners shout bingo in WA
- Housing crash would halve bank profits - fin review
- Gallup Poll Shows Consumer Spending Pullback, Consumer Confidence Levels Below Depressed 2009 Levels ; Back-to-School Sales Bust Says WSJ
- Chris Joye housing presentation - lots of data, poor interpretation
- Quick Hits: Walking Away from Boats; Philadelphia Demands $300 Blogger License Fee; Birth Rate Lowest in Century; Tracks of Bizarre Robot Traders
- Technical Analysis 09/01/2010 FXCBS
- FDIC Quarterly Banking Report: "Reduced Loan-Loss Provisions Boost Earnings"; Commercial Banker Comments on Loan Loss Provisions
- Why the Great Moderation is a Great Big Lie
- Time for Bouncy Bouncy
- 60 Second Market Wrap
Translators
Blogroll
- 20070308: Bad debts on the rise in mortgage belt
- 20070309: Late-paid mortgages show pain in suburbs
- 20070314: LateLine on the US Sub-Prime Crisis - Video of Tom Iggulden’s report on New Century’s woes and arguments (including mine) about its relevance for Australia
- 20070314: Warning on ‘silly’ loans - The Age covers the new ‘shared equity loans’ being offered by Adelaide Bank and St George
- 20070317: Onward rolls the sub-prime story in the USA
- 20070725 New York Times “‘Lender Sees Mortgage Woes for ‘Good’ Risks”
- 20070725 New York Times Op Ed “‘Stopping the Subprime Crisis”
- 20070815: 7.30 Report “American mortgage shock waves hit Australia” - Profile of the Cooks case and views on the likely collapse of the mortgage market in Australia
- 20070826 New York Times: Inside the Countrywide Lending Spree - Inside the Countrywide Lending Spree
- 20070917: How bad debt infected the world - Excellent Sunday Telegraph feature on CDOs
- 7.30 Report - Many Baby Boomers will retire in debt–and I’m probably one of them!
- ABC PM on US Subprime Crisis - Stephen Long covers the USA Subprime crisis and local angles with interviews of Steve Keen, Ian Rogers (The Sheet) and David Tennant (Care ACT)
- Bear Stearns: Turmoil in sub-prime mortgages
- Beware of Exploding Mortgages (New York Times June 10 2007)
- Can the mortgage crisis swallow a town? - New York Times chilling description of the mortgage crisis’s impact on one town in Ohio
- Centre for Policy Development - The policy portal that evolved out og the New Matilda
- Credit derivatives: At the risky end of finance - The Economist on derivatives
- Debtwatch Podcast - Debtwatch’s Monthly Podcast with Stuart Cameron (www.cameronmedia.com.au)
- Debunking Economics - My Debunking Economics website. A wealth of lectures and papers, and a poverty of organisation!
- Doug Noland - Doug Noland’s Credit Bubble Bulletin: the best analysis of America’s Speculative Bubble
- First home payments hit $3000 per month
- FN Arena: Mortgage crunch in Australia too? - FN Arena covers my March Debtwatch and more optimistic (or Panglossian?) takes on the situation from Macquarie Bank, etc.
- Global House Price Crash
- House of credit cards may fall - Robert Lusetich, Los Angeles correspondent for The Australian, bemoans the nature of America
- Housing Affordability
- iTulip - One of the best commentary sites on the Internet Bubble has been reborn amid the USA’s mortgage binge
- NZ Reserve Bank on Regulation: PM May 9th 2007 - Interview on the Budget, Inflation, and New Zealand’s Reserve Bank’s shift on regulation
- Our economic managers - Non Sequitur’s brilliant take on those who think the “status quo” will last forever
- Property Knowledge Group - An interesting impartial forum on housing issues, unlike most such forums that are either bulls or bears. Holds regular public debates on the topic. Well worth attending
- RBA 2003 Conference on Asset Prices and Monetary Policy - This is an excellent set of papers on the dangers of leveraged speculation, and the capacity of the market for irrational behaviour.
- RBA Bulletin Statistical Tables - The good people at RBA Statistics have recently added a Zipped file that contains all their XLS files–many thanks!
- RBA Speech March 16th - One economic indicator not considered in Dr Edey’s presentation was the level of private debt…
- Shared Equity Loans - Well-researched article on the pitfalls of shared equity mortgages
- The New Matilda - Intelligent alternative thought on social and economic issues in Australia
- True rate of home defaults hidden - Repossessions may be four times higher than reported figures
- Two Depressions, One Banking Collapse - An excellent comparison of the 1890 to the 1930 Depression, by Chay Fisher & Christopher Kent, which shows how much more severe the 1890 downturn was for Australia, and the role of debt and housing speculation in that crisis
- US Federal Reserve Historical Statistics - I use the Zipped “tabs” files from this page; check the bottom of the page for an explanation of the data structure
- US Housing Crash Blog

