A Simple Solution to the Banking Crisis That No Country Will Implement

Flattr this!

Though Sil­i­con Val­ley Bank con­tributed to its own demise, the root cause of this cri­sis is the fact that pri­vate banks own gov­ern­ment bonds. If they did­n’t, then SVB would still be sol­vent.

Its bank­rupt­cy was the result of the price of Trea­sury bonds falling, because The Fed­er­al Reserve increased inter­est rates. As inter­est rates rise, the val­ue of Trea­sury Bonds falls. With the resale val­ue of its bonds plung­ing, the total val­ue of SVB’s assets (which were main­ly Bonds, Reserves, and Loans to house­holds and firms) fell below the val­ue of its Lia­bil­i­ties (which are main­ly the deposits of house­holds and firms), and it col­lapsed.

How does JK Galbraith’s The New Industrial Estate hold up after 6 decades?

Flattr this!

I was asked to con­tribute to an Ital­ian online pub­li­ca­tion’s trib­ute to John Ken­neth Gal­braith, by answer­ing some ques­tions about the rel­e­vance of his major work The New Indus­tri­al State (Gal­braith and Gal­braith 1967) six decades lat­er. These were my respons­es.

About sixty years later, how relevant and actual is the vision of the American economy and economic system proposed by John K. Galbraith in his “The new industrial state”?

Read­ing The New Indus­tri­al State (Gal­braith and Gal­braith 1967) again, six decades after it was first pub­lished, high­light­ed for me just how far eco­nom­ic the­o­ry has retreat­ed from real­i­ty since the 1960s.

How does JK Galbraith’s The New Industrial Estate hold up, six decades on?

Flattr this!

I was asked to con­tribute to an Ital­ian online pub­li­ca­tion’s trib­ute to John Ken­neth Gal­braith, by answer­ing some ques­tions about the rel­e­vance of his major work The New Indus­tri­al State (Gal­braith and Gal­braith 1967) six decades lat­er. These were my respons­es.

About sixty years later, how relevant and actual is the vision of the American economy and economic system proposed by John K. Galbraith in his “The new industrial state”?

Read­ing The New Indus­tri­al State (Gal­braith and Gal­braith 1967) again, six decades after it was first pub­lished, high­light­ed for me just how far eco­nom­ic the­o­ry has retreat­ed from real­i­ty since the 1960s.

Discussing a Modern Debt Jubilee on Macro’n’Cheese

Flattr this!

I dis­cuss a Mod­ern Debt Jubilee On Macro’n’Cheese today, and this is a quick expla­na­tion of how it could be done.

Jubilees were com­mon in antiq­ui­ty. The Lord’s Prayer did not orig­i­nal­ly say “And for­give us our sins, as we have for­giv­en those who sin against us”, but “And for­give us our debts, as we also have for­giv­en our debtors”. But an old-fash­ioned Jubilee would reward those who gam­bled with bor­rowed mon­ey, and thus effec­tive­ly penalise those who did not. It would also effec­tive­ly bank­rupt the banks, since their assets—our debts—would fall, while their liabilities—our deposits—would remain con­stant.

Gisellian demurrage currency

Flattr this!




Dr. Keen,

I am won­der­ing if you have ever seri­ous­ly con­sid­ered issuance of Gisel­lian cur­ren­cy for coun­tries fac­ing unplayable debt (all of them, as far as I know).

The scheme I am imag­in­ing would have these govts pay­ing off bonds due with G‑currency. Bond­hold­ers would then, ASAP, spend it on real items in the econ­o­my, where it would even­tu­al­ly end up as wages, where work­ers would spend it, ASAP, on tax­es and con­sumer goods.

The demur­rage, say 12%/year (= 12 x 1% stamps)  would give this cur­ren­cy an annu­al veloc­i­ty of at least 12 since any hold­er of the cur­ren­cy would want to spend it before each month-end tax stamp would be due.

Australia’s Economy is a House of Cards

Flattr this!



By Matt Bar­rie & Craig Tin­dale.

I recent­ly watched the fed­er­al trea­sur­er, Scott Mor­ri­son, proud­ly pro­claim that Aus­tralia was in “sur­pris­ing­ly good shape”. Indeed, Aus­tralia has just snatched the world record from the Nether­lands, achiev­ing its 104th quar­ter of growth with­out a reces­sion, mak­ing this achieve­ment the longest streak for any OECD coun­try since 1970.

Aus­tralian GDP growth has been trend­ing down for over forty years
Source: 
Trad­ing Eco­nom­ics, ABS

I was pret­ty shocked at the com­pla­cen­cy, because after twen­ty six years of eco­nom­ic expan­sion, the coun­try has very lit­tle to show for it.

Shutting down membership

Flattr this!




I have recent­ly estab­lished a Patre­on site https://www.patreon.com/ProfSteveKeen, where peo­ple can sup­port my research and advo­ca­cy work with dona­tions start­ing at $1/month. That is now where I will engage in con­ver­sa­tion in response to posts. So if any­one here wants to con­tin­ue a dia­logue with me and oth­ers, please sign up there.

This site was flood­ed by a large num­ber of spam users at the same time as I became unable to main­tain my own role in dis­cus­sions here, since I am just too damn busy in Lon­don. This has caused the site to be sus­pend­ed three times by its ISP for per­for­mance issues. One more time and the account will be banned. I have there­fore decid­ed to delete all users on this site, bar those who have made posts (which is a hand­ful of indi­vid­u­als of course).

Brexit debate in London May 31st

Flattr this!




I’m tak­ing part in a debate on one of the major top­ics in this year’s elec­tion, Brex­it, on May 31st at 7.30pm at Can­ham, 40 Sheen Lane, Lon­don SW14 8LW. The oth­er speak­ers are Frances Cop­po­la, and Angus Arm­strong.

  • Frances Cop­po­la is an eco­nom­ic com­men­ta­tor in print and fre­quent­ly on the BBC.
  • Angus Arm­strong is direc­tor of macro-eco­nom­ics at one of the top research insti­tu­tions, the Nation­al Insti­tute of Eco­nom­ic and Social Research found­ed in 1938.

Click here to buy tick­ets for this event.