Book release

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From Finan­cial Cri­sis to Stag­na­tion: The Destruc­tion of Shared Pros­per­i­ty and the Role of Eco­nom­ics” by Thomas Pal­ley, Cam­bridge Uni­ver­si­ty Press, 2012.

The U.S. econ­o­my con­fronts the prospect of extend­ed stag­na­tion. This book explores why. The argu­ment is the Great Reces­sion and destruc­tion of shared pros­per­i­ty is due to flawed eco­nom­ic pol­i­cy. One flaw was the growth mod­el adopt­ed after 1980 that relied on debt and asset price infla­tion instead of wages to fuel growth. A sec­ond flaw was the mod­el of glob­al­iza­tion which cre­at­ed an eco­nom­ic gash. Finan­cial dereg­u­la­tion and the house price bub­ble kept the econ­o­my going by mak­ing ever more cred­it avail­able. As the econ­o­my can­ni­bal­ized itself by under­cut­ting income dis­tri­b­u­tion and accu­mu­lat­ing debt, it need­ed larg­er spec­u­la­tive bub­bles to grow. That process end­ed when the hous­ing bub­ble burst. The ear­li­er post–World War II eco­nom­ic mod­el based on ris­ing mid­dle-class incomes has been dis­man­tled, while the new eco­nom­ic mod­el has implod­ed. Absent change of pol­i­cy par­a­digm, the log­i­cal next step is stag­na­tion. The polit­i­cal chal­lenge is how to achieve par­a­digm change.

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About Steve Keen

I am Professor of Economics and Head of Economics, History and Politics at Kingston University London, and a long time critic of conventional economic thought. As well as attacking mainstream thought in Debunking Economics, I am also developing an alternative dynamic approach to economic modelling. The key issue I am tackling here is the prospect for a debt-deflation on the back of the enormous private debts accumulated globally, and our very low rate of inflation.