Today’s blog was published as a feature “A lose-lose election for home buyers” by The Age Business. Click here to download this post as a PDF file (with charts).
Both Liberal and Labor housing policies will make Australia’s debt and housing affordability crises worse. The only difference between the two is how much damage they will [...]
Both Are a Plague on Our Houses
Deflated changes in Wages and Debt: 7.30 Report Data
Tables like the ones below take my breath away when I see them for the first time–because the story they tell is worse than any I would have dared make up. As I noted in the interview with Kerry O’Brien on the 7.30 Report, real wages have increased since 1990, and since Australia’s last election [...]
Data for 7.30 Report Interview coming soon…
I provided a number of comparisons of real wages, mortgage payments, interest rates and the like in my interview on the 7.30 Report this evening. I’ll post a table containing those data by tomorrow morning.
If you’re a new visitor and would like to receive my Debtwatch Report, which Kerry mentioned in tonight’s interview, please click [...]
The Political Debt Cycle
Both parties will make much of their economic management credentials in this election campaign.
Many Australians, on the other hand, seem convinced that the economy would do as well regardless of which party were in power.
The average punter has it right: luck, rather than skill, has determined which governments in retrospect came up smelling like roses [...]
And Deeper in Debt… Launch next Tuesday 12pm
Dear All,
Below is the press release from the Centre for Policy Development for the launch of my “mini-book” on debt. Please pass the news on, and I hope to meet some of you at the launch.
You load sixteen tons, and what do you get?
Another day older and deeper in debt”
(Merle Travis, 1946)
Australia has been on a 45 year [...]
DebtWatch No 11 September 2007: Why didn’t they see it coming?
I expect–and hope–that the tenor of discussion at this month’s RBA Board meeting will be very different to last month’s. In August, I imagine, the community members of the Board listened sagely as the RBA’s economists explained why the risk of future inflation had risen, why this justified a “pre-emptive strike” of raising interest rates, [...]
Link to extended 7.30 Report Interview
The 7.30 Report is making good use of the web with its extended interview feature. These are the edited highlights of the major interviews it does for stories, at best ten per cent of which sees the light of day in the final story.
Here is the link to the extended interview with me for their [...]
7.30 Report on “American mortgage shock waves hit Australia”
Those of you who missed last night’s 7.30 Report (like myself–I was playing tennis at the time!) should check the link below:
 American mortgage shock waves hit Australia
Apologies again for a tardy update cycle on this blog, but as you can imagine, I’m busy as hell right now. When the dust settles–in early October–I hope to [...]
Brief Report on the Home Loan Lending Roundtable
To its credit, the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Economics, Finance and Public Administration decided to hold an “Inquiry into home loan lending practices and processes“, in the form of a one-day round-table discussion with interested parties.
They invited a diverse group: all the major banks were asked, as well as representative of non-bank lenders, mortgage [...]
“Total, total bullshit”?
Oh dear. When Nassim Khadim from The Age asked me to comment yesterdy on the electoral assertion being made by the Liberal Party–that rising State debt was putting upward pressure on interest rates–I responded that the assertion was:
“Total, total bullshit. It’s like saying that somebody dropped a pebble into the ocean and that caused a tsunami. And you can [...]
Archives
Categories
Recent Posts
Spam Blocked
Translators
Recent Comments
- jrbarch in A Couple of Gems
- GSM in A Couple of Gems
- Bullturnedbear in Neoclassical Wage Restraint Madness…
- homes4aussies in A Couple of Gems
- nicko in Neoclassical Wage Restraint Madness…
- Steve Keen in Neoclassical Wage Restraint Madness…
- GSM in A Couple of Gems
- GSM in A Couple of Gems
- Bullturnedbear in A Couple of Gems
- GSM in A Couple of Gems
Blogroll
- 20070308: Bad debts on the rise in mortgage belt
- 20070309: Late-paid mortgages show pain in suburbs
- 20070314: LateLine on the US Sub-Prime Crisis - Video of Tom Iggulden’s report on New Century’s woes and arguments (including mine) about its relevance for Australia
- 20070314: Warning on ’silly’ loans - The Age covers the new ’shared equity loans’ being offered by Adelaide Bank and St George
- 20070317: Onward rolls the sub-prime story in the USA
- 20070725 New York Times “‘Lender Sees Mortgage Woes for ‘Good’ Risks”
- 20070725 New York Times Op Ed “‘Stopping the Subprime Crisis”
- 20070815: 7.30 Report “American mortgage shock waves hit Australia” - Profile of the Cooks case and views on the likely collapse of the mortgage market in Australia
- 20070826 New York Times: Inside the Countrywide Lending Spree - Inside the Countrywide Lending Spree
- 20070917: How bad debt infected the world - Excellent Sunday Telegraph feature on CDOs
- 7.30 Report - Many Baby Boomers will retire in debt–and I’m probably one of them!
- ABC PM on US Subprime Crisis - Stephen Long covers the USA Subprime crisis and local angles with interviews of Steve Keen, Ian Rogers (The Sheet) and David Tennant (Care ACT)
- Bear Stearns: Turmoil in sub-prime mortgages
- Beware of Exploding Mortgages (New York Times June 10 2007)
- Can the mortgage crisis swallow a town? - New York Times chilling description of the mortgage crisis’s impact on one town in Ohio
- Centre for Policy Development - The policy portal that evolved out og the New Matilda
- Credit derivatives: At the risky end of finance - The Economist on derivatives
- Debtwatch Podcast - Debtwatch’s Monthly Podcast with Stuart Cameron (www.cameronmedia.com.au)
- Debunking Economics - My Debunking Economics website. A wealth of lectures and papers, and a poverty of organisation!
- Doug Noland - Doug Noland’s Credit Bubble Bulletin: the best analysis of America’s Speculative Bubble
- First home payments hit $3000 per month
- FN Arena: Mortgage crunch in Australia too? - FN Arena covers my March Debtwatch and more optimistic (or Panglossian?) takes on the situation from Macquarie Bank, etc.
- Global House Price Crash
- House of credit cards may fall - Robert Lusetich, Los Angeles correspondent for The Australian, bemoans the nature of America
- Housing Affordability
- iTulip - One of the best commentary sites on the Internet Bubble has been reborn amid the USA’s mortgage binge
- NZ Reserve Bank on Regulation: PM May 9th 2007 - Interview on the Budget, Inflation, and New Zealand’s Reserve Bank’s shift on regulation
- Our economic managers - Non Sequitur’s brilliant take on those who think the “status quo” will last forever
- RBA 2003 Conference on Asset Prices and Monetary Policy - This is an excellent set of papers on the dangers of leveraged speculation, and the capacity of the market for irrational behaviour.
- RBA Bulletin Statistical Tables - The good people at RBA Statistics have recently added a Zipped file that contains all their XLS files–many thanks!
- RBA Speech March 16th - One economic indicator not considered in Dr Edey’s presentation was the level of private debt…
- Shared Equity Loans - Well-researched article on the pitfalls of shared equity mortgages
- The New Matilda - Intelligent alternative thought on social and economic issues in Australia
- True rate of home defaults hidden - Repossessions may be four times higher than reported figures
- Two Depressions, One Banking Collapse - An excellent comparison of the 1890 to the 1930 Depression, by Chay Fisher & Christopher Kent, which shows how much more severe the 1890 downturn was for Australia, and the role of debt and housing speculation in that crisis
- US Federal Reserve Historical Statistics - I use the Zipped “tabs” files from this page; check the bottom of the page for an explanation of the data structure
- US Housing Crash Blog
