Spinning wheels and shaky deals

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With the announce­ment that Toy­ota will stop its man­u­fac­tur­ing in Aus­tralia in 2017, Aus­tralia has become one of the few wealthy nations on the plan­et with­out a car indus­try. But there’s a good argu­ment that Aus­tralia nev­er had a car indus­try in the first place.

The mass pro­duc­tion indus­try began with Gen­er­al Motors Holden’s FX mod­el in 1948, with GMH being a 100 per cent-owned sub­sidiary of Gen­er­al Motors in the Unit­ed States. The same pat­tern fol­lowed with Ford, then Chrysler, and at one time up to five for­eign-owned car man­u­fac­tur­ers were pro­duc­ing almost exclu­sive­ly for the Aus­tralian domes­tic car mar­ket. This is very dif­fer­ent to all oth­er car-pro­duc­ing nations, which nor­mal­ly began with domes­tic man­u­fac­tur­ers expand­ing out­put, first­ly for a local mar­ket and then for exports. Many of these were sub­se­quent­ly bought out by the major US and Japan­ese pro­duc­ers dur­ing the Age of Glob­al­i­sa­tion, but for at least three decades after WWII, most car pro­duc­ers were nation­al­ly-owned affairs.

Except in Aus­tralia, where the car indus­try was shaped more by gov­ern­ment pol­i­cy than by the evo­lu­tion of local man­u­fac­tur­ing.

The gov­ern­ment pol­i­cy moti­va­tion for invit­ing for­eign car man­u­fac­tur­ers to set up shop here was employ­ment. The ear­ly post-WWII eco­nom­ic ide­ol­o­gy was a very dif­fer­ent one to that which pre­vails today, best epit­o­mised in my favourite phrase from the 1945 White Paper, Full Employ­ment in Aus­tralia. The empha­sis was, it said:

To main­tain such pres­sure on employ­ment as to guar­an­tee a short­age of men rather than a short­age of jobs.”

This could have been done by encour­ag­ing local­ly-owned man­u­fac­tur­ing, but it was faster to entice for­eign man­u­fac­tur­ers to either expand exist­ing plants (as with GMH) or set up shop here (as with many oth­ers includ­ing Ley­land, Volk­swa­gen, Renault) via the car­rot of a large­ly cap­tive local mar­ket and the stick of high tar­iff bar­ri­ers.

This employ­ment strat­e­gy had many Achilles heels, but to me the out­stand­ing one was economies of scale.

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About Steve Keen

I am Professor of Economics and Head of Economics, History and Politics at Kingston University London, and a long time critic of conventional economic thought. As well as attacking mainstream thought in Debunking Economics, I am also developing an alternative dynamic approach to economic modelling. The key issue I am tackling here is the prospect for a debt-deflation on the back of the enormous private debts accumulated globally, and our very low rate of inflation.