Why this is a bad time to win an election

Flattr this!

Kevin Rudd came to pow­er for the first time on Decem­ber 3rd 2007, just a few months after the glob­al finan­cial cri­sis com­menced, and some time before its sever­i­ty was tru­ly appre­ci­at­ed by the polit­i­cal class­es of any nation. On Sep­tem­ber 7, he lost office for the last time.

The first elec­tion he won was a bad one to win, not because he was blamed for the calami­ty of the GFC itself of course, but because his entire term was dom­i­nat­ed by react­ing to it.

That reac­tion had parts that could be rub­bished (every­thing from the Lib­er­al Party’s favourite farce of the Pink Batts pro­gram to my pet hate, the First Home Ven­dors Boost) but a sim­ple com­par­i­son of Australia’s eco­nom­ic per­for­mance to that of the rest of the OECD over the last six years shows that his reac­tion worked – see Fig­ure 1, which shows unem­ploy­ment in Aus­tralia, the US and Ire­land. Unem­ploy­ment nev­er exceed­ed six per cent here, and growth turned neg­a­tive for only one quar­ter. The US, on the oth­er hand, had its longest post-war reces­sion ever, and Europe’s obses­sion with aus­ter­i­ty turned its down­turn into a gen­uine sec­ond Great Depres­sion.

Click here to read more

Bookmark the permalink.

About Steve Keen

I am Professor of Economics and Head of Economics, History and Politics at Kingston University London, and a long time critic of conventional economic thought. As well as attacking mainstream thought in Debunking Economics, I am also developing an alternative dynamic approach to economic modelling. The key issue I am tackling here is the prospect for a debt-deflation on the back of the enormous private debts accumulated globally, and our very low rate of inflation.