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Thanks for the Manna

Published in July 30th, 2010
Posted by Steve Keen in Debtwatch
125 Comments

Chris Joye comments in his release of the recent RP Data-Rismark index that the news of a 0.7% fall in one month will be “manna from heaven for the housing market bears”. Far be it from me to disappoint him, so thanks for the manna. But what adds spice to the manna is the way [...]

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Aussie house prices fall 0.7% in June 2010

Published in July 30th, 2010
Posted by Steve Keen in Debtwatch
14 Comments

The RPData-Rismark index has just been released, and it has fallen 0.7% in the month of June 2010. I’ll have more to say on this shortly, but for now I can do no better than to direct you to the Business Spectator news report of the fall: House prices fall 0.7% in June, flat in [...]

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American Monetary Institute Conference Chicago Sept 30–Oct 3

Published in July 20th, 2010
Posted by Steve Keen in Debtwatch
142 Comments

The American Monetary Institute has  invited me to speak at their 2010 Monetary Reform Conference, at the University Center in downtown Chicago, between  September 30th and October 3rd. I have agreed, though since this is in the middle of a teaching period for me it will be a “lightning trip” to the USA–leaving Sydney on Wednesday 29th [...]

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New York Debtwatch Talk: Modelling Debt Deflation

Published in July 14th, 2010
Posted by Steve Keen in Debtwatch
106 Comments

The blog now has over 5000 members, and about 40 of them crowded into a small room in the FlatIron district of New York to hear me give a talk on debt-deflation. Since I had the luxury of more time than you get at an academic conference, and an engaging and intelligent audience, I gave [...]

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Are We It Yet posted

Published in July 12th, 2010
Posted by Steve Keen in Debtwatch
33 Comments

This is a “remedial” post: I have just posted “Are We It Yet?” to this site, but for some reason it was posted after the “Naked Capitalism” post below. If you’ve already read the paper I gave at the Minsky conference, then you’ve read what’s published there; the main reasons for putting it here in [...]

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Naked Capitalism and My Scary Minsky Model

Published in July 7th, 2010
Posted by Steve Keen in Debtwatch
144 Comments

I met with Yves Smith of Naked Capitalism on the weekend, at a superb Japanese restaurant that only New York locals could find (and I’ll keep its location quiet for their benefit–too much publicity could spoil a spectacular thing). Yves was kind enough to post details of my latest academic paper at her site in [...]

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Are We “It” Yet?

Published in July 3rd, 2010
Posted by Steve Keen in Debtwatch
9 Comments

If you’ve downloaded and read the paper and presentation I posted in my previous entry, then there’s nothing new for you to read in the body of this post; the main addition is the video below of my talk. That in part gives you rather too good a view of the back of the heads [...]

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Blogroll

  • 20070308: Bad debts on the rise in mortgage belt
  • 20070309: Late-paid mortgages show pain in suburbs
  • 20070314: LateLine on the US Sub-Prime Crisis - Video of Tom Iggulden’s report on New Century’s woes and arguments (including mine) about its relevance for Australia
  • 20070314: Warning on ‘silly’ loans - The Age covers the new ‘shared equity loans’ being offered by Adelaide Bank and St George
  • 20070317: Onward rolls the sub-prime story in the USA
  • 20070725 New York Times “‘Lender Sees Mortgage Woes for ‘Good’ Risks”
  • 20070725 New York Times Op Ed “‘Stopping the Subprime Crisis”
  • 20070815: 7.30 Report “American mortgage shock waves hit Australia” - Profile of the Cooks case and views on the likely collapse of the mortgage market in Australia
  • 20070826 New York Times: Inside the Countrywide Lending Spree - Inside the Countrywide Lending Spree
  • 20070917: How bad debt infected the world - Excellent Sunday Telegraph feature on CDOs
  • 7.30 Report - Many Baby Boomers will retire in debt–and I’m probably one of them!
  • ABC PM on US Subprime Crisis - Stephen Long covers the USA Subprime crisis and local angles with interviews of Steve Keen, Ian Rogers (The Sheet) and David Tennant (Care ACT)
  • Bear Stearns: Turmoil in sub-prime mortgages
  • Beware of Exploding Mortgages (New York Times June 10 2007)
  • Can the mortgage crisis swallow a town? - New York Times chilling description of the mortgage crisis’s impact on one town in Ohio
  • Centre for Policy Development - The policy portal that evolved out og the New Matilda
  • Credit derivatives: At the risky end of finance - The Economist on derivatives
  • Debtwatch Podcast - Debtwatch’s Monthly Podcast with Stuart Cameron (www.cameronmedia.com.au)
  • Debunking Economics - My Debunking Economics website. A wealth of lectures and papers, and a poverty of organisation!
  • Doug Noland - Doug Noland’s Credit Bubble Bulletin: the best analysis of America’s Speculative Bubble
  • First home payments hit $3000 per month
  • FN Arena: Mortgage crunch in Australia too? - FN Arena covers my March Debtwatch and more optimistic (or Panglossian?) takes on the situation from Macquarie Bank, etc.
  • Global House Price Crash
  • House of credit cards may fall - Robert Lusetich, Los Angeles correspondent for The Australian, bemoans the nature of America
  • Housing Affordability
  • iTulip - One of the best commentary sites on the Internet Bubble has been reborn amid the USA’s mortgage binge
  • NZ Reserve Bank on Regulation: PM May 9th 2007 - Interview on the Budget, Inflation, and New Zealand’s Reserve Bank’s shift on regulation
  • Our economic managers - Non Sequitur’s brilliant take on those who think the “status quo” will last forever
  • Property Knowledge Group - An interesting impartial forum on housing issues, unlike most such forums that are either bulls or bears. Holds regular public debates on the topic. Well worth attending
  • RBA 2003 Conference on Asset Prices and Monetary Policy - This is an excellent set of papers on the dangers of leveraged speculation, and the capacity of the market for irrational behaviour.
  • RBA Bulletin Statistical Tables - The good people at RBA Statistics have recently added a Zipped file that contains all their XLS files–many thanks!
  • RBA Speech March 16th - One economic indicator not considered in Dr Edey’s presentation was the level of private debt…
  • Shared Equity Loans - Well-researched article on the pitfalls of shared equity mortgages
  • The New Matilda - Intelligent alternative thought on social and economic issues in Australia
  • True rate of home defaults hidden - Repossessions may be four times higher than reported figures
  • Two Depressions, One Banking Collapse - An excellent comparison of the 1890 to the 1930 Depression, by Chay Fisher & Christopher Kent, which shows how much more severe the 1890 downturn was for Australia, and the role of debt and housing speculation in that crisis
  • US Federal Reserve Historical Statistics - I use the Zipped “tabs” files from this page; check the bottom of the page for an explanation of the data structure
  • US Housing Crash Blog
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