Eichengreen and O’Rourke: A Tale of Two Depressions

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Eco­nom­ic his­to­ri­ans Bar­ry Eichen­green and Kevin H. O’Rourke are using empir­i­cal data to com­pare this down­turn to the Great Depres­sion. I’ll be refer­ring to and adding to their com­par­i­son in the next Debt­watch (which will be pub­lished late next week, before the RBA’s July meet­ing), but the research is so good that it deserves to be high­light­ed now.

Their con­clu­sion is com­pelling:

To sum­marise: the world is cur­rent­ly under­go­ing an eco­nom­ic shock every bit as big as the Great Depres­sion shock of 1929–30. Look­ing just at the US leads one to over­look how alarm­ing the cur­rent sit­u­a­tion is even in com­par­i­son with 1929–30.

Click here to see the full post;  below I sim­ply link to some of the fig­ures.

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