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Green Shoots or Green Observers?

Published in June 29th, 2009
Posted by Cassander in Debtwatch
129 Comments

Economists have long had to endure being called “Dismal Scientists”, but really that’s not hard enough on them. With their proclivity to invent trite phrases to describe complex issues, they deserve to be known as Dismal Poets as well.
The latest cliché off the economic jargon production line is “Green Shoots of [...]

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Eichengreen and O’Rourke: A Tale of Two Depressions

Published in June 24th, 2009
Posted by Cassander in Debtwatch
75 Comments

Economic historians Barry Eichengreen and Kevin H. O’Rourke are using empirical data to compare this downturn to the Great Depression. I’ll be referring to and adding to their comparison in the next Debtwatch (which will be published late next week, before the RBA’s July meeting), but the research is so good that it deserves to [...]

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The Pool Room Friday 19th June 2009

Published in June 20th, 2009
Posted by Cassander in Debtwatch
52 Comments

AUSTRALIAN-RELATED LINKS:
Aussie Banks Addicted To Foreign Borrowing, Daily Reckoning, 18 Jun
“The deposit base of Aussie banks is ‘too low’. Aussie banks are over-reliant on offshore money. This entire situation is a ‘threat to economic recovery’. So it appears Aussie banks are addicted to foreign borrowing and are currently suffering from withdrawal symptoms… Australia’s property boom [...]

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The Pool Room Friday 12th June 2009

Published in June 13th, 2009
Posted by Cassander in Debtwatch
90 Comments

More gems and brickbats from the world’s media and blogs gathered by Evan, with contributions from other blog members. Please keep those tips coming in to gfcwrap at gmail.com.
AUSTRALIAN-RELATED LINKS:

June 9, 2009: “A beautiful set of numbers tell only part of the economic story”, Tim Colebatch, The Age.
“How can anyone make sense of this? [...]

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Are the students revolting?

Published in June 13th, 2009
Posted by Cassander in Education
27 Comments

I’ve had a few exchanges with neoclassical economists recently via the East Asia Forum blog, whose editor approached me to write  a version of my “What a load of Bollocks” post on this site. That piece “Why neoclassical economics is dead“, critiqued an East Asia Forum post “The state of economics” by neoclassical textbook authors McTaggart, [...]

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An economic counter-revolution begins… in Reykjavik

Published in June 7th, 2009
Posted by Cassander in Debtwatch
51 Comments

In Debunking Economics, I argued that economic theory had done such damage to society that humanity would be better off if everything ever written about economics by anyone–including yours truly–were obliterated, and the world had to start again from scratch.
Unfortunately that can’t be done–everything, even economics, develops in an evolutionary way–but the next best thing [...]

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The Pool Room–Week Ending Friday 5th June 2009

Published in June 5th, 2009
Posted by Cassander in Debtwatch
67 Comments

Before the Pool Room, a quick comment on Australia’s recent 0.4% growth in GDP in the first quarter of 2009–largely due to a surprise growth in net exports–and the sequel the next day of a surprise trade deficit.
Briefly, the “textbook” definition of GDP is:
GDP = C+I+G+X-M
“GDP equals Consumption plus Investment plus Government spending plus eXports [...]

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Unmasking the Economics Profession: the challenge of political economy

Published in June 2nd, 2009
Posted by Steve Keen in Debtwatch
20 Comments

STEVE KEEN and EVAN JONES in conversation with FRANK STILWELL
In this event to celebrate the publication of Political Economy Now!–the history of the Political Economy struggle at Sydney University–Evan Jones, Frank Stilwell and Steve Keen will discuss the struggles inside the university economics departments and their significance, not only for teaching, but for the [...]

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Debtwatch No 35: Let’s Do the Time Warp Again

Published in June 1st, 2009
Posted by Cassander in Debtwatch
100 Comments

Economic debate in Australia today reminds me of one of the great lines in The Rocky Horror Show. As he invites Brad and Janet to meet Rocky, Frank-N-Furter taunts Janet with the lines:
I would like–if I may–to take you on a strange journey…
“I see you shiver with anticipation!
But maybe the rain is really to blame
So [...]

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Blogroll

  • 20070308: Bad debts on the rise in mortgage belt
  • 20070309: Late-paid mortgages show pain in suburbs
  • 20070314: LateLine on the US Sub-Prime Crisis - Video of Tom Iggulden’s report on New Century’s woes and arguments (including mine) about its relevance for Australia
  • 20070314: Warning on ’silly’ loans - The Age covers the new ’shared equity loans’ being offered by Adelaide Bank and St George
  • 20070317: Onward rolls the sub-prime story in the USA
  • 20070725 New York Times “‘Lender Sees Mortgage Woes for ‘Good’ Risks”
  • 20070725 New York Times Op Ed “‘Stopping the Subprime Crisis”
  • 20070815: 7.30 Report “American mortgage shock waves hit Australia” - Profile of the Cooks case and views on the likely collapse of the mortgage market in Australia
  • 20070826 New York Times: Inside the Countrywide Lending Spree - Inside the Countrywide Lending Spree
  • 20070917: How bad debt infected the world - Excellent Sunday Telegraph feature on CDOs
  • 7.30 Report - Many Baby Boomers will retire in debt–and I’m probably one of them!
  • ABC PM on US Subprime Crisis - Stephen Long covers the USA Subprime crisis and local angles with interviews of Steve Keen, Ian Rogers (The Sheet) and David Tennant (Care ACT)
  • Bear Stearns: Turmoil in sub-prime mortgages
  • Beware of Exploding Mortgages (New York Times June 10 2007)
  • Can the mortgage crisis swallow a town? - New York Times chilling description of the mortgage crisis’s impact on one town in Ohio
  • Centre for Policy Development - The policy portal that evolved out og the New Matilda
  • Credit derivatives: At the risky end of finance - The Economist on derivatives
  • Debtwatch Podcast - Debtwatch’s Monthly Podcast with Stuart Cameron (www.cameronmedia.com.au)
  • Debunking Economics - My Debunking Economics website. A wealth of lectures and papers, and a poverty of organisation!
  • Doug Noland - Doug Noland’s Credit Bubble Bulletin: the best analysis of America’s Speculative Bubble
  • First home payments hit $3000 per month
  • FN Arena: Mortgage crunch in Australia too? - FN Arena covers my March Debtwatch and more optimistic (or Panglossian?) takes on the situation from Macquarie Bank, etc.
  • Global House Price Crash
  • House of credit cards may fall - Robert Lusetich, Los Angeles correspondent for The Australian, bemoans the nature of America
  • Housing Affordability
  • iTulip - One of the best commentary sites on the Internet Bubble has been reborn amid the USA’s mortgage binge
  • NZ Reserve Bank on Regulation: PM May 9th 2007 - Interview on the Budget, Inflation, and New Zealand’s Reserve Bank’s shift on regulation
  • Our economic managers - Non Sequitur’s brilliant take on those who think the “status quo” will last forever
  • Property Knowledge Group - An interesting impartial forum on housing issues, unlike most such forums that are either bulls or bears. Holds regular public debates on the topic. Well worth attending
  • RBA 2003 Conference on Asset Prices and Monetary Policy - This is an excellent set of papers on the dangers of leveraged speculation, and the capacity of the market for irrational behaviour.
  • RBA Bulletin Statistical Tables - The good people at RBA Statistics have recently added a Zipped file that contains all their XLS files–many thanks!
  • RBA Speech March 16th - One economic indicator not considered in Dr Edey’s presentation was the level of private debt…
  • Shared Equity Loans - Well-researched article on the pitfalls of shared equity mortgages
  • The New Matilda - Intelligent alternative thought on social and economic issues in Australia
  • True rate of home defaults hidden - Repossessions may be four times higher than reported figures
  • Two Depressions, One Banking Collapse - An excellent comparison of the 1890 to the 1930 Depression, by Chay Fisher & Christopher Kent, which shows how much more severe the 1890 downturn was for Australia, and the role of debt and housing speculation in that crisis
  • US Federal Reserve Historical Statistics - I use the Zipped “tabs” files from this page; check the bottom of the page for an explanation of the data structure
  • US Housing Crash Blog
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