Niall Ferguson has just made the first call for widespread debt rescheduling that I have seen published in a major newspaper–today’s Australian, and I am sure it is reproduced in many newspapers around the world (if your local paper is owned by News Limited, there’s a good chance that you will find it there).
The article [...]
Bravo Niall Ferguson
And you think I’m ornery? The Dahlem Report
My railing against the economics profession on this blog might give you the impression that I’m a lone wolf, taking on the economics profession single-handedly. I’m pleased to say that’s not the case; though the rebels are outnumbered by the True Believers in neoclassical economics, there are many academic economists who are critical of the [...]
Alex Mitchell goes for the jugular
Alex Mitchell is one of the political writers I’ve always enjoyed reading. Today he excels himself in The New Matilda, with a post on other journalists–specifically economic journalists–that really goes for the jugular.
Overall I think Anatole Kaletsky is on the more important track, to destroy the unjustified credibility of the academic neoclassical economists whose theories [...]
Neoliberalism and economic breakdown
Australia’s previous Liberal Party Prime Minister John Howard “came out swinging” last night in support of the policy agenda his government shared with the preceding Labor Party government of Bob Hawke and Paul Keating: ”neoliberalism” (for non-Australian readers, the Australian Liberal Party is closer to the US Republican Party or the UK’s Tories than the [...]
Some curious Neoclassical rumblings
As regular readers of this blog know, I argue that the dominant school of thought in economics, “Neoclassical economics”, is not only incapable of explaining this crisis, but actually helped contribute to it by its deluded analyses of finance and money.
I wrote Debunking Economics eight years ago to explain why Neoclassical economics was inherently flawed [...]
USA Public Broadcasting Service FrontLine Special
Frontline is running a special on the financial crisis:
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/meltdown/
It should make interesting viewing. It will be available from 9pm New York time on February 17th–which I think means midday or thereabouts on the 20th, Sydney time.
Out of touch for a few days/Black Swans
I’m off to work with the CSIRO for a few days on modelling, and I may not be able to keep up with blog comments as well as I’d like to.
I’ve also had a correspondent who is prevented from posting to the blog by a too-strict Internet censoring policy in the country he’s currently in. [...]
Bug in Calendar Widget
The calendar widget that I’ve added the the site recently (see the left hand side bar below the login section) is great, but has an annoying bug: it gets the date right, but the day of the week wrong.
My guess is that this reflects if US origins, and the author has set it up on [...]
Calendar now active
I’ve recently added a Calendar widget to the blog–just below the login widget on the left hand side.
I will use it to maintain a calendar of upcoming public events–and also conferences where I am speaking–as well as media coverage, if I get enough notice of it. The widget is very well designed–days coloured red to [...]
An interesting challenge
There’s an interesting post on the Atlantic by Jim Manzi, Stimulus predictions: put up or shut up, that calls on economists who are making predictions about what Obama’s stimulus package will or won’t do to present their models on which these predictions are based.
In part, he says:
So here’s what we would need to falsify a prediction. [...]
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Translators
Blogroll
- 20070308: Bad debts on the rise in mortgage belt
- 20070309: Late-paid mortgages show pain in suburbs
- 20070314: LateLine on the US Sub-Prime Crisis - Video of Tom Iggulden’s report on New Century’s woes and arguments (including mine) about its relevance for Australia
- 20070314: Warning on ’silly’ loans - The Age covers the new ’shared equity loans’ being offered by Adelaide Bank and St George
- 20070317: Onward rolls the sub-prime story in the USA
- 20070725 New York Times “‘Lender Sees Mortgage Woes for ‘Good’ Risks”
- 20070725 New York Times Op Ed “‘Stopping the Subprime Crisis”
- 20070815: 7.30 Report “American mortgage shock waves hit Australia” - Profile of the Cooks case and views on the likely collapse of the mortgage market in Australia
- 20070826 New York Times: Inside the Countrywide Lending Spree - Inside the Countrywide Lending Spree
- 20070917: How bad debt infected the world - Excellent Sunday Telegraph feature on CDOs
- 7.30 Report - Many Baby Boomers will retire in debt–and I’m probably one of them!
- ABC PM on US Subprime Crisis - Stephen Long covers the USA Subprime crisis and local angles with interviews of Steve Keen, Ian Rogers (The Sheet) and David Tennant (Care ACT)
- Bear Stearns: Turmoil in sub-prime mortgages
- Beware of Exploding Mortgages (New York Times June 10 2007)
- Can the mortgage crisis swallow a town? - New York Times chilling description of the mortgage crisis’s impact on one town in Ohio
- Centre for Policy Development - The policy portal that evolved out og the New Matilda
- Credit derivatives: At the risky end of finance - The Economist on derivatives
- Debtwatch Podcast - Debtwatch’s Monthly Podcast with Stuart Cameron (www.cameronmedia.com.au)
- Debunking Economics - My Debunking Economics website. A wealth of lectures and papers, and a poverty of organisation!
- Doug Noland - Doug Noland’s Credit Bubble Bulletin: the best analysis of America’s Speculative Bubble
- First home payments hit $3000 per month
- FN Arena: Mortgage crunch in Australia too? - FN Arena covers my March Debtwatch and more optimistic (or Panglossian?) takes on the situation from Macquarie Bank, etc.
- Global House Price Crash
- House of credit cards may fall - Robert Lusetich, Los Angeles correspondent for The Australian, bemoans the nature of America
- Housing Affordability
- iTulip - One of the best commentary sites on the Internet Bubble has been reborn amid the USA’s mortgage binge
- NZ Reserve Bank on Regulation: PM May 9th 2007 - Interview on the Budget, Inflation, and New Zealand’s Reserve Bank’s shift on regulation
- Our economic managers - Non Sequitur’s brilliant take on those who think the “status quo” will last forever
- Property Knowledge Group - An interesting impartial forum on housing issues, unlike most such forums that are either bulls or bears. Holds regular public debates on the topic. Well worth attending
- RBA 2003 Conference on Asset Prices and Monetary Policy - This is an excellent set of papers on the dangers of leveraged speculation, and the capacity of the market for irrational behaviour.
- RBA Bulletin Statistical Tables - The good people at RBA Statistics have recently added a Zipped file that contains all their XLS files–many thanks!
- RBA Speech March 16th - One economic indicator not considered in Dr Edey’s presentation was the level of private debt…
- Shared Equity Loans - Well-researched article on the pitfalls of shared equity mortgages
- The New Matilda - Intelligent alternative thought on social and economic issues in Australia
- True rate of home defaults hidden - Repossessions may be four times higher than reported figures
- Two Depressions, One Banking Collapse - An excellent comparison of the 1890 to the 1930 Depression, by Chay Fisher & Christopher Kent, which shows how much more severe the 1890 downturn was for Australia, and the role of debt and housing speculation in that crisis
- US Federal Reserve Historical Statistics - I use the Zipped “tabs” files from this page; check the bottom of the page for an explanation of the data structure
- US Housing Crash Blog

